The future of the SWFL housing market 2019 was presented at the November 2018 SWFL REIA general meeting. The future of the SWFL housing market 2019 disclosure:
3 ways to react to change.
Everyone and each generation share common lifecycle characteristics.
Each generation has its own traits and modalities but in the end, we all do the same things. Where are we now?
The future of the SWFL housing market 2019: How did we get here?
The future of the SWFL housing market 2019: Difference in demand.
Check out the growth 2005 thru 2005, by percentages it is astounding.
The sharp jump from 2014 forward shows growth but the percentages are not in line with a mania.
The future of the SWFL housing market 2019: Potential negative disruptive factors.
The future of the SWFL housing market 2019: Are foreclosures an issue?
What does this spike 2016 mean?
There have just not been enough mortgages since 2008 to drive another wave as we seen before. Below is the last cycle.
The future of the SWFL housing market 2019: Demographic Trends
The future of the SWFL housing market 2019: Some perspective on 55 and up assets.
The future of the SWFL housing market 2019: The local economy.It is basically two things happening at once:
The future of the SWFL housing market 2019: The millennials are making more money.That generation has experienced the most wage growth of recent. They all do not live in the basement as social media would have you believe. They are also heading up more households. They are also migrating in large numbers. SWFL is one of the destinations.
The future of the SWFL housing market 2019: The Macro PictureA rising tide lifts all boats The aphorism “a rising tide lifts all boats” is associated with the idea that improvements in the general economy will benefit all participants in that economy, and that economic policy, particularly government economic policy, should, therefore, focus on the general macroeconomic environment first and foremost. First, let us start with the money supply.
In response to the 2008 financial crisis, the money supply was expanded to stabilize the economy. Here is the long view.
Here is the 10-year view.
Here is the 5-year view.
Here is the one year view.
Notice how the expansion be ratios is slowing down. Traditional this causes a pullback in the economy. There is not much traditional about the economy anymore. The future of the SWFL housing market 2019: Macro debt levels.Commercial and Industrial Loans, All Commercial Banks
Total Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized, Outstanding
Charge-Off Rate on Credit Card Loans, All Commercial Banks. How are the consumers performing with this debt?
How about Student loan debt? This will impact the ability of the Millenials to buy and how much they can buy.
How about 1 to 4 family residential debt levels? This shows how under or over-leveraged this is in relation to the economy.
The only debt level that has not blown thru the peaks of the last cycle is this asset class. This could change as the cycle goes further. Dodd-Frank is impeding this. The future of the SWFL housing market 2019: Changes in the Real Estate Industry.
The future of the SWFL housing market 2019: Some thoughts on Commercial Real Estate.
The following slides were from an SME from the Federal Reserve at the CIP Group that meets in the morning. If you are into commercial, it is a great group. Click here for more information.
Office Space will be impacted by the changing economy.
As interest rates rise many of the low cap rate investments will feel some pain.
Notes: Commercial is in a period of change. Industrial seems to be the most stable. The future of the SWFL housing market 2019: Other trends of note.
The future of the SWFL housing market 2019: things to watch.
The Southwest Florida Real Estate Investment Association is the leading source of SWFL real estate investing events that provide investment education and networking in southwest Florida. We analyze the housing market and foreclosures and provide information, education and networking events in order to build a network and knowledge base for investors and potential investors. Our members include real estate agent, brokers, investors, hedge fund managers, rehabbers, wholesalers and more. Our SWFL REIA General Meeting is held in Fort Myers where we provide education on hot topics in investing and an opportunity to enjoy the camaraderie of your fellow investors. You’ll get a chance to ask for advice from successful real estate professionals and even make a few deals on your latest projects. To become a member, anyone can register as an individual, a couple, or a corporation. Being a member opens the doors for endless networking opportunities, advice from members with decades of experience, new ideas from entrepreneurs, camaraderie with those just beginning, and deals and contracts done in the meeting room. For those interested in Cape Coral rental property investment and/or Fort Myers rental property investment, SWFL REIA will be able to provide a network to help launch a successful investment career. The SWFL REIA is known and respected as a source of current, actionable and useful information about the housing market in the area that we meet. We meet twice a month. Click here for information about the monthly luncheon. Click here for information about our nighttime general meeting. One of the premier sources for real estate investing networking and education is the SWFL REIA. In the real estate world, the SWFL REIA is different in that they do not do information product sales. Their meetings are focusing on the best ways of investing in real estate by collaborating with other property investors who are sharing their experiences. We look forward to meeting you at a meeting soon! Get our meeting notices and market data emailed to you.
Subject: The future of the SWFL housing market 2019
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